{"id":585,"date":"2020-01-09T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2020-01-09T08:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/?p=585"},"modified":"2026-09-27T17:41:40","modified_gmt":"2026-09-27T15:41:40","slug":"jugez-le-pari-pas-le-resultat-science4all","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/2020\/01\/09\/jugez-le-pari-pas-le-resultat-science4all\/","title":{"rendered":"Jugez le pari, pas le r\u00e9sultat (Science4All)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Jugez le pari. Pas le r\u00e9sultat.\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/69w3mZOHEtU?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:30px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Une bonne d\u00e9cision peut mal tourner, et une mauvaise d\u00e9cision peut r\u00e9ussir par chance. Juger nos choix \u00e0 leurs seuls r\u00e9sultats est donc un pi\u00e8ge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S&#8217;appuyant sur le livre de la joueuse de poker Annie Duke, <em>Thinking in Bets<\/em>, <strong>L\u00ea Nguy\u00ean Hoang<\/strong> invite \u00e0 penser chaque d\u00e9cision comme un <strong>pari<\/strong>, pris avec les informations disponibles \u00e0 ce moment-l\u00e0, et montre qu&#8217;il s&#8217;agit d&#8217;un principe fondamental du bay\u00e9sianisme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L&#8217;\u00e9pisode 25 de sa s\u00e9rie sur le bay\u00e9sianisme, \u00e0 prolonger avec <a href=\"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/2016\/12\/10\/la-loi-de-bayes-en-deux-videos-monsieur-phi\/\">la loi de Bayes expliqu\u00e9e par Monsieur Phi<\/a>. Du m\u00eame auteur : <a href=\"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/2024\/04\/01\/la-dictature-des-algorithmes-ft-apreslabiere\/\">La dictature des algorithmes<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Vid\u00e9o de la cha\u00eene Science4All.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Une bonne d\u00e9cision peut mal tourner, et une mauvaise d\u00e9cision peut r\u00e9ussir par chance. Juger nos choix \u00e0 leurs seuls r\u00e9sultats est donc un pi\u00e8ge. S&#8217;appuyant sur le livre de la joueuse de poker Annie Duke, Thinking in Bets, L\u00ea Nguy\u00ean Hoang invite \u00e0 penser chaque d\u00e9cision comme un pari, pris avec les informations disponibles \u00e0 ce moment-l\u00e0, et montre qu&#8217;il s&#8217;agit d&#8217;un principe fondamental du bay\u00e9sianisme. L&#8217;\u00e9pisode 25 de sa s\u00e9rie sur le bay\u00e9sianisme, \u00e0 prolonger avec la loi&#8230;<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"><a class=\"btn btn-default\" href=\"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/2020\/01\/09\/jugez-le-pari-pas-le-resultat-science4all\/\"> Read More<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">  Read More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[131,228,167,202],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-585","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-le-nguyen-hoang","category-science4all","category-theme-esprit-critique","category-theme-philosophie"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/585","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=585"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/585\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":680,"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/585\/revisions\/680"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=585"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=585"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=585"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}