{"id":1004,"date":"2018-07-29T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2018-07-29T07:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/?p=1004"},"modified":"2026-09-28T13:20:41","modified_gmt":"2026-09-28T11:20:41","slug":"la-pensee-bayesienne-hygiene-mentale","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/2018\/07\/29\/la-pensee-bayesienne-hygiene-mentale\/","title":{"rendered":"La pens\u00e9e bay\u00e9sienne (Hygi\u00e8ne Mentale)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Ep26 La Pens\u00e9e Bay\u00e9sienne\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/x-2uVNze56s?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:30px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pour mieux penser, il est utile de s&#8217;int\u00e9resser aux statistiques bay\u00e9siennes. Raisonner en termes de plausibilit\u00e9 des hypoth\u00e8ses, que l&#8217;on met \u00e0 jour \u00e0 mesure que les indices arrivent, permet de sortir des d\u00e9bats cliv\u00e9s entre \u00ab j&#8217;y crois \u00bb et \u00ab j&#8217;y crois pas \u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cela demande un peu plus de calculs et comporte une part de subjectivit\u00e9, mais il y a beaucoup \u00e0 gagner \u00e0 s&#8217;inspirer de la formule de Bayes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dans la m\u00eame s\u00e9rie : <a href=\"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/?p=995\">la conjecture de Syracuse<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/?p=996\">la d\u00e9couverte qui a transform\u00e9 \u03c0<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/?p=997\">le cinqui\u00e8me postulat d&#8217;Euclide<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/?p=998\">le n\u0153ud de Conway<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/?p=645\">Fourier et Bayes vus par 3Blue1Brown<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Vid\u00e9o de la cha\u00eene Hygi\u00e8ne Mentale.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pour mieux penser, il est utile de s&#8217;int\u00e9resser aux statistiques bay\u00e9siennes. Raisonner en termes de plausibilit\u00e9 des hypoth\u00e8ses, que l&#8217;on met \u00e0 jour \u00e0 mesure que les indices arrivent, permet de sortir des d\u00e9bats cliv\u00e9s entre \u00ab j&#8217;y crois \u00bb et \u00ab j&#8217;y crois pas \u00bb. Cela demande un peu plus de calculs et comporte une part de subjectivit\u00e9, mais il y a beaucoup \u00e0 gagner \u00e0 s&#8217;inspirer de la formule de Bayes. Dans la m\u00eame s\u00e9rie : la conjecture&#8230;<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"><a class=\"btn btn-default\" href=\"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/2018\/07\/29\/la-pensee-bayesienne-hygiene-mentale\/\"> Read More<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">  Read More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[383,280,282,167],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1004","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-hygiene-mentale","category-sciences","category-sciences-mathematiques","category-theme-esprit-critique"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1004","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1004"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1004\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1026,"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1004\/revisions\/1026"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1004"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1004"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/smalltalks.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1004"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}